Naestved vs Roskilde: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 17 April: Naestved v Roskilde in the 2. Division. In the table, Naestved are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Roskilde are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Naestved, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over HIK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Roskilde, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Vendsyssel FF, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Naestved, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Roskilde.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Roskilde 2–3 Naestved.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naestved 1.3 xG, Roskilde 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naestved 40%, draw 25%, Roskilde 35%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.72.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naestved 1–1 Roskilde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naestved40%fair 2.52 · @2.27
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.36
Roskilde35%fair 2.86 · @2.93
2.68Expected goals
1.31Naestved xG
1.36Roskilde xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Naestved 1.3 – 1.4 Roskilde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Naestved
Roskilde
Attack vs 2. Division average
-4%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.48
Our own ratings from every 2. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Naestved vs Roskilde?
On our numbers Naestved have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Roskilde 35%.
How many goals will there be in Naestved vs Roskilde?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naestved vs Roskilde?
Our predicted score is Naestved 1–1 Roskilde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Naestved vs Roskilde?
Naestved vs Roskilde (2. Division) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
