Naestved vs Thisted FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Naestved v Thisted FC in the 2. Division. In the table, Naestved are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Thisted FC are 12th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Naestved, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to HIK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Thisted FC, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vendsyssel FF, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Naestved, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Thisted FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naestved 1.6 xG, Thisted FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naestved 49%, draw 25%, Thisted FC 25%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naestved 1–1 Thisted FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naestved49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Thisted FC25%fair 3.92 · @3.30
2.47Expected goals
1.57Naestved xG
0.90Thisted FC xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Naestved 1.6 – 0.9 Thisted FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Naestved
Thisted FC
Attack vs 2. Division average
-4%
-36%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.73
0.79
Our own ratings from every 2. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naestved to win✗
49%
2.03
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Draw no bet
Naestved (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Thisted FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Naestved to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naestved / FT Naestved✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Naestved – last 6
LLWLDW
13 May
vs HIK
1–2
L
9 May
vs Vendsyssel FF
1–3
L
1 May
@ HIK
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ AB Copenhagen
0–3
L
17 Apr
vs Roskilde
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs HIK
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Thisted FC – last 6
LLLWDL
13 May
vs Vendsyssel FF
0–2
L
8 May
vs AB Copenhagen
1–2
L
1 May
@ Vendsyssel FF
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs HIK
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Brabrand
0–0
D
1 Apr
@ Fremad Amager
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naestved and Thisted FC.
What is the prediction for Naestved vs Thisted FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Naestved vs Thisted FC?
On our numbers Naestved have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Thisted FC 25%.
How many goals will there be in Naestved vs Thisted FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naestved vs Thisted FC?
Our predicted score is Naestved 1–1 Thisted FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Naestved vs Thisted FC?
Naestved vs Thisted FC (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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