Value bet: Roskilde to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRoskilde to win ✓43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.68
Thisted FC vs Roskilde: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thisted FC welcome Roskilde for a 2. Division fixture on Friday 29 May (17:00 WAT). In the table, Thisted FC are 12th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 15 matches; Roskilde are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Thisted FC, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Naestved, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Roskilde, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Vendsyssel FF, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thisted FC 1.0 xG, Roskilde 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thisted FC 32%, draw 25%, Roskilde 43%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.68.
Price worth noting: Roskilde to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thisted FC 1–1 Roskilde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thisted FC32%fair 3.09 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.20
Roskilde43%fair 2.33 · @2.75
2.56Expected goals
1.02Thisted FC xG
1.54Roskilde xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Thisted FC 1.0 – 1.5 Roskilde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Thisted FC
Roskilde
Attack vs 2. Division average
-36%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-22%
Our expected goals here
0.80
1.77
Our own ratings from every 2. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roskilde to win✓
43%
2.33
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.68
Draw no bet
Roskilde (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Thisted FC +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Roskilde to score first
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roskilde / FT Roskilde✓
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Thisted FC – last 6
WLLLWD
23 May
@ Naestved
2–0
W
13 May
vs Vendsyssel FF
0–2
L
8 May
vs AB Copenhagen
1–2
L
1 May
@ Vendsyssel FF
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs HIK
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Brabrand
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Roskilde – last 6
LWWLDL
24 May
@ Vendsyssel FF
1–3
L
13 May
@ AB Copenhagen
2–1
W
8 May
@ HIK
2–1
W
1 May
vs AB Copenhagen
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Naestved
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Vendsyssel FF
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thisted FC and Roskilde.
What is the prediction for Thisted FC vs Roskilde?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Thisted FC vs Roskilde?
On our numbers Thisted FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Roskilde 43%.
How many goals will there be in Thisted FC vs Roskilde?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thisted FC vs Roskilde?
Our predicted score is Thisted FC 1–1 Roskilde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Thisted FC vs Roskilde?
Thisted FC vs Roskilde (2. Division) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AB Copenhagen1