Cimarrones 58%Draw 23%Mineros de Fresnillo 19%Expected goals 1.69 – 1.06
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCimarrones to win ✗58% · @1.28
Double chanceCimarrones or draw ✓81% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Cimarrones vs Mineros de Fresnillo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mineros de Fresnillo travel to face Cimarrones on Sunday 19 April in the Liga Premier Serie A – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Cimarrones, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Acatlan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cimarrones 1.7 xG, Mineros de Fresnillo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cimarrones 58%, draw 23%, Mineros de Fresnillo 19%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cimarrones 1–1 Mineros de Fresnillo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cimarrones58%fair 1.72 · @1.28
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.60
Mineros de Fresnillo19%fair 5.32 · @9.20
2.76Expected goals
1.69Cimarrones xG
1.06Mineros de Fresnillo xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Cimarrones 1.7 – 1.1 Mineros de Fresnillo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cimarrones to win✗
58%
1.72
1.28
Double chance
Cimarrones or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Cimarrones (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Mineros de Fresnillo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
Cimarrones to score first
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cimarrones / FT Cimarrones✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Cimarrones – last 6
WDWWWD
11 Apr
@ Acatlan
4–0
W
28 Mar
vs Durango
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Reboceros La Piedad
3–2
W
14 Mar
vs Colima
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Los Cabos United
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Tigres de Alica
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mineros de Fresnillo – last 2
LL
11 Apr
@ Durango
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Los Cabos United
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cimarrones and Mineros de Fresnillo.
What is the prediction for Cimarrones vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Cimarrones vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
On our numbers Cimarrones have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mineros de Fresnillo 19%.
How many goals will there be in Cimarrones vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cimarrones vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
Our predicted score is Cimarrones 1–1 Mineros de Fresnillo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cimarrones vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
Cimarrones vs Mineros de Fresnillo (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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