Al Karkh vs Al-Karma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Karkh welcome Al-Karma for a Iraqi League fixture on Wednesday 22 April (17:30 WAT). In the table, Al Karkh are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Al-Karma are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al Karkh, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Diyala, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Al-Karma, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Shorta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Karkh 1.0 xG, Al-Karma 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Karkh 28%, draw 25%, Al-Karma 47%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Karkh 1–1 Al-Karma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Karkh28%fair 3.53 · @3.25
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Al-Karma47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
2.48Expected goals
1.04Al Karkh xG
1.44Al-Karma xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Al Karkh 1.0 – 1.4 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✗
47%
2.15
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95
Draw no bet
Al-Karma (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Al Karkh +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Al-Karma to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Al Karkh – last 6
LDWWLD
13 Apr
vs Diyala
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Newroz
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Mosul
2–1
W
30 Mar
vs Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Al-Karma – last 6
DWLDDW
17 Apr
vs Al Shorta
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Duhok
3–0
W
30 Mar
@ Baghdad
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Mosul
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Zakho
2–2
D
12 Mar
vs Gharraf
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Karkh and Al-Karma.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Al Karkh vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Al Karkh have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al-Karma 47%.
How many goals will there be in Al Karkh vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Karkh vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Al Karkh 1–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al Karkh vs Al-Karma?
Al Karkh vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
