Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultNæsby to win ✓55% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 9 May the 3. Division brings Næsby against Hørsholm-Usserød at ALPI Arena Naesby. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Næsby are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Hørsholm-Usserød are 4th (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Næsby, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FA 2000, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Hørsholm-Usserød, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vanløse, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Næsby, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Hørsholm-Usserød.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Næsby 4–1 Hørsholm-Usserød.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Næsby 2.3 xG, Hørsholm-Usserød 1.5 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Næsby 55%, draw 22%, Hørsholm-Usserød 24%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Næsby55%fair 1.83 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Hørsholm-Usserød24%fair 4.23 · @3.60
3.80Expected goals
2.31Næsby xG
1.50Hørsholm-Usserød xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Næsby 2.3 – 1.5 Hørsholm-Usserød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Næsby
Hørsholm-Usserød
Attack vs 3. Division average
+25%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+10%
Our expected goals here
2.52
1.61
Our own ratings from every 3. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
On our numbers Næsby have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hørsholm-Usserød 24%.
How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Our predicted score is Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.