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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Næsby v Hørsholm-Usserød: numbers & prediction

3. Division · Denmark · ALPI Arena Naesby

Næsby

LWLWW
5–0
FT
Næsby 55%Draw 22%Hørsholm-Usserød 24% Expected goals 2.31 – 1.50
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultNæsby to win ✓55% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 9 May the 3. Division brings Næsby against Hørsholm-Usserød at ALPI Arena Naesby. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Næsby are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Hørsholm-Usserød are 4th (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Næsby, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FA 2000, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Hørsholm-Usserød, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vanløse, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Næsby, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Hørsholm-Usserød.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Næsby 4–1 Hørsholm-Usserød.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Næsby 2.3 xG, Hørsholm-Usserød 1.5 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Næsby 55%, draw 22%, Hørsholm-Usserød 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Næsby55%fair 1.83 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Hørsholm-Usserød24%fair 4.23 · @3.60
3.80Expected goals
2.31Næsby xG
1.50Hørsholm-Usserød xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%

From our goals model: Næsby 2.3 – 1.5 Hørsholm-Usserød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

NæsbyHørsholm-Usserød
Attack vs 3. Division average+25%+23%
Goals conceded vs average-4%+10%
Our expected goals here2.521.61

Our own ratings from every 3. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNæsby to win ✓55%1.831.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.501.40
Draw no betNæsby (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapHørsholm-Usserød +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
First team to scoreNæsby to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultNæsby ahead at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Næsby / FT Næsby ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Næsby – last 5

LWLWW
2 May@ FA 20000–1L
6 Aprvs Frem3–2W
2 Apr@ Vanløse0–2L
28 Marvs Hørsholm-Usserød4–1W
7 Mar@ Holbæk B&I2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Hørsholm-Usserød – last 6

LLWLLW
2 Mayvs Vanløse0–1L
6 Apr@ FA 20000–1L
1 Aprvs Brønshøj3–0W
28 Mar@ Næsby1–4L
7 Marvs Vanløse0–1L
17 Feb@ Glostrup3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Mar 2026Næsby v Hørsholm-Usserød4–1
Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød head-to-head page →

3. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brønshøj15942+1331
2Holbæk B&I15924+1129
3Vanløse15762+827
4Hørsholm-Usserød15744+925
5FC Helsingor15744+525
6Næsby15636+621
7Frem15465+218
8Ishøj15537-718
9Sundby15528-117
10ASA Aarhus15528-717
11Holstebro15519-1816
12Ringsted151311-216

More 3. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

On our numbers Næsby have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hørsholm-Usserød 24%.

How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

Our predicted score is Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?

Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.