Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultHolbæk B&I to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceHolbæk B&I or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Holbæk B&I vs Sundby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sundby travel to face Holbæk B&I on Saturday 2 May in the 3. Division – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Holbæk B&I are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Sundby are 9th (lower half) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Holbæk B&I, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Brønshøj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Sundby, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vanløse, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sundby, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Holbæk B&I.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holbæk B&I 2.3 xG, Sundby 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holbæk B&I 60%, draw 21%, Sundby 18%.
Lower-risk option: Holbæk B&I or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holbæk B&I 2–1 Sundby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holbæk B&I60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Sundby18%fair 5.43 · @4.40
3.48Expected goals
2.27Holbæk B&I xG
1.21Sundby xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Holbæk B&I 2.3 – 1.2 Sundby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Holbæk B&I
Sundby
Attack vs 3. Division average
+22%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+4%
Our expected goals here
2.33
1.25
Our own ratings from every 3. Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holbæk B&I to win✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Double chance
Holbæk B&I or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.60
Draw no bet
Holbæk B&I (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Holbæk B&I -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Holbæk B&I to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Holbæk B&I ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holbæk B&I / FT Holbæk B&I✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Holbæk B&I – last 5
WLLLW
6 Apr
@ Brønshøj
2–0
W
2 Apr
vs Nykobing FC
1–5
L
28 Mar
@ FA 2000
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Næsby
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Ishøj
3–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sundby – last 3
WLW
6 Apr
vs Vanløse
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Odder
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Vejgaard B
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holbæk B&I and Sundby.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Holbæk B&I vs Sundby?
On our numbers Holbæk B&I have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sundby 18%.
How many goals will there be in Holbæk B&I vs Sundby?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holbæk B&I vs Sundby?
Our predicted score is Holbæk B&I 2–1 Sundby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Holbæk B&I vs Sundby?
Holbæk B&I vs Sundby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lyseng2
Vejgaard B1
FA 20001
Odder4