Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: Atenas to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtenas to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Atenas vs Tacuarembo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atenas welcome Tacuarembo for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 18 April (01:30 WAT). In the table, Atenas are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 25 matches; Tacuarembo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tacuarembo, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sportivo Huracan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.4 xG, Tacuarembo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 43%, draw 29%, Tacuarembo 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Atenas to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 1–1 Tacuarembo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atenas43%fair 2.35 · @2.55
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.85
Tacuarembo29%fair 3.47 · @2.80
2.22Expected goals
1.36Atenas xG
0.86Tacuarembo xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.4 – 0.9 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atenas
Tacuarembo
Attack vs Segunda División average
+3%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.38
0.61
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✓
43%
2.35
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Atenas (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Tacuarembo +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Atenas to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Atenas – last 1
L
1 Apr
vs Uruguay Montevideo
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tacuarembo – last 3
LLD
13 Apr
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Fenix
2–3
L
17 Mar
vs La Luz
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and Tacuarembo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Atenas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tacuarembo 29%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
Atenas vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
