Value bet: Ashdod to win @ 2.54 – our chance 46% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAshdod to win ✗46% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Katamon travel to face Ashdod on Wednesday 13 May in the Ligat Ha'al, with Yud-Alef Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Ashdod, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bnei Sakhnin, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Hapoel Katamon, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Maccabi Netanya, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Hapoel Katamon, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Ashdod.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ashdod 1.8 xG, Hapoel Katamon 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ashdod 46%, draw 23%, Hapoel Katamon 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Ashdod to win @2.54 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ashdod 1–1 Hapoel Katamon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ashdod46%fair 2.17 · @2.54
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Hapoel Katamon31%fair 3.23 · @2.56
2.93Expected goals
1.78Ashdod xG
1.14Hapoel Katamon xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ashdod 1.8 – 1.1 Hapoel Katamon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ashdod to win✗
46%
2.17
2.54 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Ashdod (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Katamon +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Ashdod to score first✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ashdod / FT Ashdod✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Ashdod – last 3
DLL
28 Apr
@ Bnei Sakhnin
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Maccabi Netanya
2–3
L
21 Feb
@ Maccabi Tel Aviv
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Katamon – last 3
LWL
4 May
@ Maccabi Netanya
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Maccabi Bnei Raina
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashdod and Hapoel Katamon.
What is the prediction for Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
On our numbers Ashdod have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Katamon 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
Our predicted score is Ashdod 1–1 Hapoel Katamon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon?
Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Yud-Alef Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Maccabi Bnei Raina0