Value bet: Hapoel Tel Aviv to win @ 3.15 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Tel Aviv to win ✗39% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Hapoel Tel Aviv v Beitar Jerusalem in the Ligat Ha'al, played at Bloomfield Stadium. In the table, Hapoel Tel Aviv are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 10 matches; Beitar Jerusalem are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Hapoel Tel Aviv, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Maccabi Haifa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Beitar Jerusalem, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Hapoel Petah Tikva, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Hapoel Tel Aviv, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Beitar Jerusalem.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.6 xG, Beitar Jerusalem 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Tel Aviv 39%, draw 25%, Beitar Jerusalem 36%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Tel Aviv to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Tel Aviv39%fair 2.55 · @3.15
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.35
Beitar Jerusalem36%fair 2.80 · @2.12
2.76Expected goals
1.59Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
1.17Beitar Jerusalem xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.6 – 1.2 Beitar Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Tel Aviv to win✗
39%
2.55
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
Hapoel Tel Aviv (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Beitar Jerusalem +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Hapoel Tel Aviv to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Tel Aviv / FT Hapoel Tel Aviv✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Hapoel Tel Aviv – last 3
WWW
29 Apr
vs Maccabi Haifa
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Maccabi Haifa
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Hapoel Katamon
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beitar Jerusalem – last 3
WWD
28 Apr
vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Maccabi Netanya
8–2
W
16 Feb
vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0–0
D
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
On our numbers Hapoel Tel Aviv have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Beitar Jerusalem 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
