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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Managua v Diriangén: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua

Managua

DWDLW
4–1
FT
Managua 43%Draw 24%Diriangén 33% Expected goals 1.77 – 1.32
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
1

Value bet: Managua to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultManagua to win ✓43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63

Managua vs Diriangén: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Diriangén travel to face Managua on Sunday 26 April in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Managua are 1st, leading the league, on 41 points after 16 matches; Diriangén are 2nd (among the top four) with 36.

Current form

Managua, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with UNAN Managua, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Diriangén, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Real Madriz, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Diriangén, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Managua.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Diriangén 1–1 Managua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Managua 1.8 xG, Diriangén 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Managua 43%, draw 24%, Diriangén 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Managua to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Managua 1–1 Diriangén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Managua43%fair 2.34 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.10
Diriangén33%fair 2.99 · @2.40
3.09Expected goals
1.77Managua xG
1.32Diriangén xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Managua 1.8 – 1.3 Diriangén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManagua to win ✓43%2.342.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.70 ▲
Draw no betManagua (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapDiriangén +1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.481.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
First team to scoreManagua to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Managua / FT Managua ✓29%3.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

Managua – last 6

DWDLWW
19 Aprvs UNAN Managua1–1D
16 Apr@ Matagalpa2–1W
13 Aprvs Walter Ferretti1–1D
9 Apr@ Real Estelí1–2L
9 Mar@ Real Madriz2–1W
6 Marvs Rancho Santana1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Diriangén – last 6

WWWWWW
20 Aprvs Real Madriz5–0W
16 Apr@ H&H Export2–0W
12 Aprvs Real Estelí1–0W
9 Apr@ Matagalpa3–2W
8 Mar@ Walter Ferretti5–2W
5 Mar@ UNAN Managua2–1W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Diriangén v Managua1–1
Managua vs Diriangén head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Managua vs Diriangén?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Managua vs Diriangén?

On our numbers Managua have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Diriangén 33%.

How many goals will there be in Managua vs Diriangén?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Managua vs Diriangén?

Our predicted score is Managua 1–1 Diriangén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Managua vs Diriangén?

Managua vs Diriangén (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.