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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jezero v Mornar: numbers & prediction

Cup · Montenegro · Stadion Pod Racinom

Jezero

DLLLL
1–2
FT

Mornar

WWWWW
Jezero 32%Draw 25%Mornar 42% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.48
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultMornar to win ✓42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.14

Jezero vs Mornar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jezero welcome Mornar to Stadion Pod Racinom for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 6 May (15:30 WAT).

Current form

Jezero, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sutjeska, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Mornar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mladost DG, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mornar, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.3 for Jezero.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Mornar 1–0 Jezero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jezero 1.2 xG, Mornar 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jezero 32%, draw 25%, Mornar 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jezero 1–1 Mornar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jezero32%fair 3.09 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.10
Mornar42%fair 2.37 · @2.30
2.71Expected goals
1.23Jezero xG
1.48Mornar xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Jezero 1.2 – 1.5 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMornar to win ✓42%2.372.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betMornar (draw no bet) ✓57%1.77–
Asian handicapJezero +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreMornar to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mornar / FT Mornar ✓25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.14–

Recent results

Jezero – last 6

DLLLLD
26 Apr@ Sutjeska1–1D
22 Apr@ Mornar0–1L
8 Apr@ Buducnost Podgorica0–2L
15 Mar@ Mladost DG1–3L
11 Marvs Dečić1–2L
1 Marvs Sutjeska1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mornar – last 6

WWWWWW
26 Apr@ Mladost DG2–1W
22 Aprvs Jezero1–0W
8 Aprvs Sutjeska2–1W
15 Marvs Buducnost Podgorica3–0W
11 Mar@ Bokelj2–1W
1 Marvs Mladost DG3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Mornar v Jezero1–0
Jezero vs Mornar head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Dečić1 Otrant-Olympic0 149%1.73X27%3.50224%4.00 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jezero vs Mornar?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Jezero vs Mornar?

On our numbers Jezero have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mornar 42%.

How many goals will there be in Jezero vs Mornar?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jezero vs Mornar?

Our predicted score is Jezero 1–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Jezero vs Mornar?

Jezero vs Mornar (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pod Racinom.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.