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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Derby Academie v Onze Créateurs: numbers & prediction

Derby Academie 42%Draw 30%Onze Créateurs 27% Expected goals 1.06 – 0.80
73%
Betarazi pick

Derby Academie or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDerby Academie to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceDerby Academie or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05

Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Tuesday 19 May: Derby Academie v Onze Créateurs in the Première Division. In the table, Derby Academie are 5th, upper half, on 3 points after 1 matches; Onze Créateurs are 13th (in the drop zone) with 1. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Derby Academie, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Binga, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Onze Créateurs, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Djoliba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Derby Academie, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.3 for Onze Créateurs.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Derby Academie 1.1 xG, Onze Créateurs 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Derby Academie 42%, draw 30%, Onze Créateurs 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Derby Academie or draw (73%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Derby Academie or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derby Academie 1–0 Onze Créateurs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Derby Academie42%fair 2.37 · @2.30
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @2.60
Onze Créateurs27%fair 3.64 · @3.30
1.86Expected goals
1.06Derby Academie xG
0.80Onze Créateurs xG
42%Both score
28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Derby Academie 1.1 – 0.8 Onze Créateurs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDerby Academie to win ✗42%2.372.30
Double chanceDerby Academie or draw ✓73%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.74–
Draw no betDerby Academie (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapOnze Créateurs +1 (Asian handicap) ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓54%1.851.70
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreDerby Academie to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.05–

Recent results

Derby Academie – last 5

DWWLD
15 Apr@ Binga0–0D
3 Aprvs US Bougouba2–0W
17 Mar@ Bakaridjan1–0W
8 Marvs Djoliba0–2L
2 Mar@ USFAS Bamako0–0D
0.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Onze Créateurs – last 3

LLD
15 Apr@ Djoliba0–1L
3 Apr@ Afrique Football Élite0–1L
17 Marvs ASKO1–1D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Derby Academie and Onze Créateurs.

Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs head-to-head page →

Première Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Malien Bamako2200+26
2Binga2110+24
3Djoliba2110+24
4Bakaridjan2110+14
5Derby Academie1100+13
6Afrique Football Élite210103
7CS Bamako202002
8US Bougouba202002
9AS Kayes101001
10ASKO2011-11
11Réal Bamako2011-11
12Diarra2011-11
13Onze Créateurs2011-21
14USFAS Bamako2002-30

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?

Our pick is Derby Academie or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?

On our numbers Derby Academie have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Onze Créateurs 27%.

How many goals will there be in Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?

Our predicted score is Derby Academie 1–0 Onze Créateurs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs?

Derby Academie vs Onze Créateurs (Première Division) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.