Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.37 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.37Odds
Picks by market
ResultFerroviária to win ✓37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.72
Ituano vs Ferroviária: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Paulista A2 brings Ituano against Ferroviária. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Ituano, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Votuporanguense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Ferroviária, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Floresta, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ferroviária, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ituano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ituano 1.0 xG, Ferroviária 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ituano 34%, draw 29%, Ferroviária 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituano 1–1 Ferroviária. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ituano34%fair 2.90 · @2.38
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.00
Ferroviária37%fair 2.71 · @2.80
2.20Expected goals
1.02Ituano xG
1.18Ferroviária xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.0 – 1.2 Ferroviária expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win✓
37%
2.71
2.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.85
Draw no bet
Ferroviária (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Ituano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ferroviária to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.72
–
Recent results
Ituano – last 6
WLWDLL
15 Apr
vs Votuporanguense
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ XV de Piracicaba
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Água Santa
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs XV de Piracicaba
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Oeste
0–2
L
26 Feb
@ São José EC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ferroviária – last 6
DWLWLW
21 Apr
@ Floresta
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Juventus
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Botafogo PB
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Sertãozinho
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Maringá
2–3
L
26 Mar
@ São José EC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Ferroviária.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Ituano vs Ferroviária?
On our numbers Ituano have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ferroviária 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Ferroviária?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Ferroviária?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–1 Ferroviária, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Ferroviária?
Ituano vs Ferroviária (Paulista A2) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
