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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Torque v Boston River: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Centenario
4–1
FT
Atletico Torque 57%Draw 25%Boston River 18% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.83
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Torque to win ✓57% · @1.82
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Atletico Torque vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico Torque welcome Boston River to Estadio Centenario for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Friday 24 April (23:30 WAT). In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Boston River are 11th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Torque, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Boston River, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cerro Largo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.7 xG, Boston River 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 57%, draw 25%, Boston River 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Atletico Torque or draw (82%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–0 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Torque57%fair 1.75 · @1.82
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Boston River18%fair 5.64 · @4.20
2.55Expected goals
1.72Atletico Torque xG
0.83Boston River xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.7 – 0.8 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Atletico TorqueBoston River
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average+43%-15%
Goals conceded vs average+2%+8%
Our expected goals here1.990.93

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Torque to win ✓57%1.751.82
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.85
Draw no betAtletico Torque (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapBoston River +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
First team to scoreAtletico Torque to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

Atletico Torque – last 6

DWWLLD
19 Apr@ Cerro1–1D
15 Apr@ Palestino2–0W
9 Aprvs Gremio1–0W
28 Marvs Club Nacional2–3L
24 Mar@ Deportivo Maldonado0–1L
17 Mar@ Liverpool Montevideo0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Boston River – last 6

WLLWLL
20 Aprvs Cerro Largo1–0W
16 Apr@ Millonarios0–1L
8 Aprvs Sao Paulo0–1L
29 Mar@ Juventud2–1W
26 Marvs Penarol0–2L
10 Marvs Liverpool Montevideo0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atletico Torque and Boston River.

Atletico Torque vs Boston River head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Boston River?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Boston River?

On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boston River 18%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Boston River?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Boston River?

Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Atletico Torque vs Boston River?

Atletico Torque vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.