Atletico Torque vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Torque welcome Boston River to Estadio Centenario for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Friday 24 April (23:30 WAT). In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Boston River are 11th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Torque, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Boston River, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cerro Largo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.7 xG, Boston River 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 57%, draw 25%, Boston River 18%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Torque or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–0 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Torque57%fair 1.75 · @1.82
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Boston River18%fair 5.64 · @4.20
2.55Expected goals
1.72Atletico Torque xG
0.83Boston River xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.7 – 0.8 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+43%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.99
0.93
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win✓
57%
1.75
1.82
Double chance
Atletico Torque or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Atletico Torque (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Boston River +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Atletico Torque to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Atletico Torque – last 6
DWWLLD
19 Apr
@ Cerro
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Palestino
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Gremio
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Club Nacional
2–3
L
24 Mar
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Boston River – last 6
WLLWLL
20 Apr
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Millonarios
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Juventud
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Penarol
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Torque and Boston River.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boston River 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Boston River?
Atletico Torque vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.