Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl-Shabab to win ✓67% · @1.35
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Al-Shabab vs Al-Rustaq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Shabab welcome Al-Rustaq for a Professional League fixture on Monday 4 May (17:20 WAT).
Current form
Al-Shabab, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Saham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Al-Rustaq, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dhofar, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al-Shabab, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Al-Rustaq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Shabab 2.2 xG, Al-Rustaq 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Shabab 67%, draw 19%, Al-Rustaq 13%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Shabab 2–0 Al-Rustaq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Shabab67%fair 1.48 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.40
Al-Rustaq13%fair 7.52 · @7.50
3.12Expected goals
2.20Al-Shabab xG
0.92Al-Rustaq xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Shabab 2.2 – 0.9 Al-Rustaq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Shabab to win✓
67%
1.48
1.35
Double chance
Al-Shabab or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Al-Shabab (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Al-Shabab -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Al-Shabab to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Al-Shabab ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Shabab / FT Al-Shabab✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Al-Shabab – last 6
WLWLWW
30 Apr
vs Saham
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Al Kuwait
3–5
L
10 Apr
@ Smail
7–0
W
16 Mar
@ Al Nasr
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Sohar
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Al-Nahda
3–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al-Rustaq – last 5
WDDLL
16 Apr
@ Dhofar
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Sur
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Saham
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Smail
1–2
L
16 Feb
@ Sohar
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Shabab and Al-Rustaq.
What is the prediction for Al-Shabab vs Al-Rustaq?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al-Shabab vs Al-Rustaq?
On our numbers Al-Shabab have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Al-Rustaq 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Shabab vs Al-Rustaq?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Shabab vs Al-Rustaq?
Our predicted score is Al-Shabab 2–0 Al-Rustaq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al-Shabab vs Al-Rustaq?
Al-Shabab vs Al-Rustaq (Professional League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:20 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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