Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSur to win ✓45% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.68
Sur vs Al-Khabourah: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Khabourah travel to face Sur on Tuesday 12 May in the Professional League – the ball rolls at 14:50 WAT.
Current form
Sur, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al-Rustaq, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Al-Khabourah, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Saham, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sur, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Al-Khabourah.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sur 1.6 xG, Al-Khabourah 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sur 45%, draw 25%, Al-Khabourah 30%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sur 1–1 Al-Khabourah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sur45%fair 2.22 · @2.33
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.00
Al-Khabourah30%fair 3.36 · @2.95
2.74Expected goals
1.59Sur xG
1.16Al-Khabourah xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sur 1.6 – 1.2 Al-Khabourah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sur to win✓
45%
2.22
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Sur (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Al-Khabourah +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Sur to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sur / FT Sur✓
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Sur – last 6
DLLDDW
6 Apr
@ Al-Rustaq
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Al-Nahda
2–3
L
17 Mar
vs Al-Nahda
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Saham
0–0
D
6 Mar
@ Smail
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Bahla
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al-Khabourah – last 6
DLDLDL
4 May
vs Saham
0–0
D
10 Apr
@ Al Nasr
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs Sohar
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Oman Club
0–1
L
12 Mar
@ Al-Nahda
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Ibri
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sur and Al-Khabourah.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Sur vs Al-Khabourah?
On our numbers Sur have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al-Khabourah 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sur vs Al-Khabourah?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sur vs Al-Khabourah?
Our predicted score is Sur 1–1 Al-Khabourah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sur vs Al-Khabourah?
Sur vs Al-Khabourah (Professional League) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 14:50 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
