Value bet: Smail to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSmail to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.12
Smail vs Sohar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Smail welcome Sohar for a Professional League fixture on Thursday 14 May (16:20 WAT). In the table, Smail are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; Sohar are 14th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Smail, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Oman Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Sohar, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al-Nahda, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sohar, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Smail.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Smail 1.5 xG, Sohar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Smail 39%, draw 25%, Sohar 35%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Smail to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Smail 1–1 Sohar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Smail39%fair 2.53 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.10
Sohar35%fair 2.83 · @2.40
2.64Expected goals
1.46Smail xG
1.18Sohar xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Smail 1.5 – 1.2 Sohar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Smail to win✓
39%
2.53
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Smail (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Sohar +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Smail to score first
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Smail / FT Smail✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Smail – last 6
LLWLLD
5 May
@ Oman Club
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Al-Nahda
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Ibri
3–2
W
10 Apr
vs Al-Shabab
0–7
L
5 Apr
@ Al Seeb
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Dhofar
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sohar – last 6
WWLDWD
8 May
@ Al-Nahda
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Al Nasr
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Al-Nahda
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Al-Khabourah
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Al Seeb
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Ibri
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smail and Sohar.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Smail vs Sohar?
On our numbers Smail have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sohar 35%.
How many goals will there be in Smail vs Sohar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smail vs Sohar?
Our predicted score is Smail 1–1 Sohar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Smail vs Sohar?
Smail vs Sohar (Professional League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 16:20 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
