Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Nasr to win ✗55% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Nasr or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Al Nasr vs Smail: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Smail travel to face Al Nasr on Monday 18 May in the Professional League – the ball rolls at 16:20 WAT. In the table, Al Nasr are 3rd, among the top four, on 12 points after 6 matches; Smail are 11th (lower half) with 6.
Current form
Al Nasr, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bahla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Smail, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sohar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Nasr, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Smail.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Nasr 1.7 xG, Smail 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nasr 55%, draw 25%, Smail 20%.
Lower-risk option: Al Nasr or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nasr 1–1 Smail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Nasr55%fair 1.83 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.35
Smail20%fair 4.89 · @4.10
2.70Expected goals
1.68Al Nasr xG
1.02Smail xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 1.7 – 1.0 Smail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Nasr to win✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Double chance
Al Nasr or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Al Nasr (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Smail +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Al Nasr to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Nasr / FT Al Nasr✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Al Nasr – last 6
WLLDWW
13 May
@ Bahla
3–1
W
4 May
vs Al-Nahda
0–1
L
27 Apr
vs Sohar
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Oman Club
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Al-Khabourah
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Al-Shabab
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Smail – last 6
WLLWLL
14 May
vs Sohar
2–1
W
5 May
@ Oman Club
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Al-Nahda
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Ibri
3–2
W
10 Apr
vs Al-Shabab
0–7
L
5 Apr
@ Al Seeb
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Nasr and Smail.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Smail?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Smail 20%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Smail?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Smail?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 1–1 Smail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Smail?
Al Nasr vs Smail (Professional League) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 16:20 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Khabourah3
Al-Rustaq3