Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✓40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Plovdiv welcome Arda Kardzhali to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Friday 8 May (15:30 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Arda Kardzhali are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Botev Plovdiv, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cherno More Varna, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 win, Arda Kardzhali 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.2 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 40%, draw 28%, Arda Kardzhali 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv40%fair 2.50 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali32%fair 3.10 · @2.60
2.17Expected goals
1.20Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
0.96Arda Kardzhali xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.2 – 1.0 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Arda Kardzhali 32%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
