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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ludogorets v Levski Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Huvepharma Arena

Ludogorets

DLLLD
1–1
FT

Levski Sofia

DWDWW
Ludogorets 50%Draw 27%Levski Sofia 23% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.06
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✗50% · @1.70
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓77% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97

Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 13 May the First League brings Ludogorets against Levski Sofia at Huvepharma Arena. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Levski Sofia are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ludogorets, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CSKA Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Levski Sofia, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CSKA Sofia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Levski Sofia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Ludogorets.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Ludogorets 1–0 Levski Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.5 xG, Levski Sofia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 50%, draw 27%, Levski Sofia 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ludogorets or draw (77%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–1 Levski Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ludogorets50%fair 1.99 · @1.70
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.45
Levski Sofia23%fair 4.33 · @4.50
2.53Expected goals
1.47Ludogorets xG
1.06Levski Sofia xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.5 – 1.1 Levski Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✗50%1.991.70
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓77%1.301.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.83
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet)68%1.46–
Asian handicapLevski Sofia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✗28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.97–

Recent results

Ludogorets – last 6

DLLLDW
29 Apr@ CSKA Sofia0–0D
25 Aprvs CSKA 19481–2L
21 Aprvs CSKA Sofia1–2L
15 Apr@ Arda Kardzhali0–1L
9 Aprvs Cherno More Varna0–0D
5 Aprvs CSKA 19483–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Levski Sofia – last 6

DWDWWL
13 Apr@ CSKA Sofia1–1D
9 Aprvs Arda Kardzhali1–0W
5 Apr@ Dobrudzha2–2D
15 Mar@ Beroe1–0W
9 Marvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0W
5 Mar@ Ludogorets0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026Ludogorets v Levski Sofia1–0
Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Slavia Sofia0 Dobrudzha2 147%2.85X24%3.25229%2.25 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT CSKA Sofia1 CSKA 19481 144%2.05X26%3.10230%3.45 1.4–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?

On our numbers Ludogorets have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Levski Sofia 23%.

How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?

Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–1 Levski Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?

Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.