BKMA vs Alashkert: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 2 May: BKMA v Alashkert in the Premier League, played at Football Academy Stadium. In the table, BKMA are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Alashkert are 4th (among the top four) with 25. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BKMA, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Van, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Alashkert, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Urartu, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BKMA 0.9 xG, Alashkert 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BKMA 16%, draw 22%, Alashkert 62%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: BKMA 0–2 Alashkert. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BKMA16%fair 6.18 · @5.40
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.70
Alashkert62%fair 1.62 · @1.55
2.73Expected goals
0.87BKMA xG
1.86Alashkert xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: BKMA 0.9 – 1.9 Alashkert expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alashkert to win✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Double chance
Alashkert or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
Alashkert (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Alashkert -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Alashkert to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Alashkert ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alashkert / FT Alashkert✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
BKMA – last 6
WDDDLL
23 Apr
@ Van
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Gandzasar
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ Shirak
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Shirak
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs FC Urartu
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Alashkert – last 6
WWDLLL
19 Apr
@ FC Urartu
3–1
W
14 Apr
vs Ararat
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Ararat-Armenia
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BKMA and Alashkert.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win BKMA vs Alashkert?
On our numbers BKMA have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alashkert 62%.
How many goals will there be in BKMA vs Alashkert?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BKMA vs Alashkert?
Our predicted score is BKMA 0–2 Alashkert, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is BKMA vs Alashkert?
BKMA vs Alashkert (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
