Value bet: Shirak to win @ 3.90 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVan to win ✓45% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.22
Van vs Shirak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shirak travel to face Van on Friday 8 May in the Premier League, with Charentsavan City Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Van are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Shirak are 7th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Van, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to BKMA, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Shirak, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ararat, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Van 1.3 xG, Shirak 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Van 45%, draw 25%, Shirak 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Shirak to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Van 1–1 Shirak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Van45%fair 2.23 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.45
Shirak30%fair 3.32 · @3.90
2.63Expected goals
1.31Van xG
1.32Shirak xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Van 1.3 – 1.3 Shirak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Van to win✓
45%
2.23
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.73
Draw no bet
Van (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Van +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Shirak to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shirak / FT Shirak✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.22
–
Recent results
Van – last 6
LLLDLL
23 Apr
vs BKMA
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs FC Urartu
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Ararat-Armenia
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ Ararat-Armenia
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Ararat
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Shirak – last 6
LLLDDL
1 May
vs Ararat
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Gandzasar
2–3
L
20 Apr
vs Ararat-Armenia
0–4
L
16 Apr
vs BKMA
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ BKMA
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Van and Shirak.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Van vs Shirak?
On our numbers Van have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shirak 30%.
How many goals will there be in Van vs Shirak?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Van vs Shirak?
Our predicted score is Van 1–1 Shirak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Van vs Shirak?
Van vs Shirak (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Charentsavan City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
