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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bahardar v Suhul Shire: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
1–1
FT
Bahardar 48%Draw 29%Suhul Shire 23% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.72
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultBahardar to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceBahardar or draw ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.64

Bahardar vs Suhul Shire: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 1 May the Premier League brings Bahardar against Suhul Shire. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Bahardar, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sheger Ketema, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Suhul Shire, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Welayta Dicha, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bahardar, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Suhul Shire.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bahardar 1.2 xG, Suhul Shire 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bahardar 48%, draw 29%, Suhul Shire 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bahardar or draw (77%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bahardar 1–0 Suhul Shire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bahardar48%fair 2.09 · @2.00
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.80
Suhul Shire23%fair 4.28 · @3.90
1.89Expected goals
1.17Bahardar xG
0.72Suhul Shire xG
40%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Bahardar 1.2 – 0.7 Suhul Shire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBahardar to win ✗48%2.092.00
Double chanceBahardar or draw ✓77%1.301.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗60%1.66–
Draw no betBahardar (draw no bet)67%1.49–
Asian handicapSuhul Shire +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreBahardar to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bahardar / FT Bahardar ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.64–

Recent results

Bahardar – last 6

LDWDWD
20 Aprvs Sheger Ketema0–2L
15 Apr@ Ethiopian Medhin1–1D
10 Aprvs Adama Kenema2–1W
3 Apr@ Mebrat Hayl0–0D
13 Mar@ Kedus Giorgis2–0W
9 Marvs Negelle Arsi0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Suhul Shire – last 6

LDLDLD
20 Aprvs Welayta Dicha0–1L
15 Apr@ Awassa Kenema0–0D
8 Aprvs Dire Dawa Kenema0–1L
3 Apr@ Mekelakeya1–1D
13 Mar@ Sidama Bunna0–2L
9 Marvs Fasil Ketema1–1D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bahardar and Suhul Shire.

Bahardar vs Suhul Shire head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bahardar vs Suhul Shire?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Bahardar vs Suhul Shire?

On our numbers Bahardar have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Suhul Shire 23%.

How many goals will there be in Bahardar vs Suhul Shire?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bahardar vs Suhul Shire?

Our predicted score is Bahardar 1–0 Suhul Shire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Bahardar vs Suhul Shire?

Bahardar vs Suhul Shire (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.