Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNegelle Arsi to win ✗53% · @1.95
Double chanceNegelle Arsi or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.37
Negelle Arsi vs Suhul Shire: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 21 May the Premier League brings Negelle Arsi against Suhul Shire. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Negelle Arsi, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Mekelakeya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Suhul Shire, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ethiopia Bunna, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Negelle Arsi 1.3 xG, Suhul Shire 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Negelle Arsi 53%, draw 28%, Suhul Shire 19%.
Lower-risk option: Negelle Arsi or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Negelle Arsi or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Negelle Arsi 1–0 Suhul Shire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Negelle Arsi53%fair 1.88 · @1.95
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.75
Suhul Shire19%fair 5.25 · @4.00
1.94Expected goals
1.30Negelle Arsi xG
0.64Suhul Shire xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Negelle Arsi 1.3 – 0.6 Suhul Shire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Double chance
Negelle Arsi or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.57
Draw no bet
Negelle Arsi (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Suhul Shire +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Negelle Arsi to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Negelle Arsi / FT Negelle Arsi✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.37
–
Recent results
Negelle Arsi – last 6
LWWDDD
14 May
@ Mekelakeya
0–4
L
11 May
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
3–0
W
6 May
@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs Fasil Ketema
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
13 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Suhul Shire – last 6
WLWDLD
14 May
vs Ethiopia Bunna
1–0
W
9 May
@ Adama Kenema
0–4
L
5 May
vs Mebrat Hayl
1–0
W
1 May
@ Bahardar
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Welayta Dicha
0–1
L
15 Apr
@ Awassa Kenema
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Negelle Arsi and Suhul Shire.
What is the prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Suhul Shire?
Our pick is Negelle Arsi or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Suhul Shire?
On our numbers Negelle Arsi have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Suhul Shire 19%.
How many goals will there be in Negelle Arsi vs Suhul Shire?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Negelle Arsi vs Suhul Shire?
Our predicted score is Negelle Arsi 1–0 Suhul Shire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Negelle Arsi vs Suhul Shire?
Negelle Arsi vs Suhul Shire (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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