Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Thursday 28 May: Awassa Kenema v Ethiopia Bunna in the Premier League. In the table, Awassa Kenema are 11th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Ethiopia Bunna are 14th (lower half) with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Awassa Kenema, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sheger Ketema, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ethiopia Bunna, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fasil Ketema, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ethiopia Bunna, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Awassa Kenema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Awassa Kenema 1.1 xG, Ethiopia Bunna 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Awassa Kenema 39%, draw 30%, Ethiopia Bunna 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Awassa Kenema 1–1 Ethiopia Bunna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Awassa Kenema39%fair 2.58 · @2.30
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @2.62
Ethiopia Bunna31%fair 3.19 · @3.10
2.08Expected goals
1.14Awassa Kenema xG
0.94Ethiopia Bunna xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Awassa Kenema 1.1 – 0.9 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Awassa Kenema to win✓
39%
2.58
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Awassa Kenema (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Ethiopia Bunna +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Awassa Kenema to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Awassa Kenema / FT Awassa Kenema✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.13
–
Recent results
Awassa Kenema – last 6
DLDDLD
4 May
vs Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Bunna – last 6
WLDLWD
20 May
vs Fasil Ketema
2–1
W
14 May
@ Suhul Shire
0–1
L
5 May
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–4
L
26 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Awassa Kenema and Ethiopia Bunna.
What is the prediction for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
On our numbers Awassa Kenema have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Ethiopia Bunna 31%.
How many goals will there be in Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our predicted score is Awassa Kenema 1–1 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.