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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Welayta Dicha v Negelle Arsi: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
0–0
FT
Welayta Dicha 38%Draw 31%Negelle Arsi 31% Expected goals 1.10 – 0.89
69%
Betarazi pick

Welayta Dicha or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultWelayta Dicha to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✓69% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63

Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 4 June the Premier League brings Welayta Dicha against Negelle Arsi. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Welayta Dicha are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 5 matches; Negelle Arsi are 1st (leading the league) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Welayta Dicha, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ethiopian Medhin, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Negelle Arsi, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Suhul Shire, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Welayta Dicha, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Negelle Arsi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Welayta Dicha 1.1 xG, Negelle Arsi 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Welayta Dicha 38%, draw 31%, Negelle Arsi 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: Welayta Dicha or draw (69%) at 1.35.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Welayta Dicha or draw (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Welayta Dicha 1–0 Negelle Arsi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Welayta Dicha38%fair 2.62 · @2.70
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @2.50
Negelle Arsi31%fair 3.25 · @2.80
1.98Expected goals
1.10Welayta Dicha xG
0.89Negelle Arsi xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Welayta Dicha 1.1 – 0.9 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWelayta Dicha to win ✗38%2.622.70
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✓69%1.441.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.871.50
Draw no betWelayta Dicha (draw no bet)55%1.80–
Asian handicapNegelle Arsi +1 (Asian handicap) ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreWelayta Dicha to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Welayta Dicha / FT Welayta Dicha ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.63–

Recent results

Welayta Dicha – last 6

DDWWDW
19 May@ Ethiopian Medhin0–0D
14 Mayvs Kedus Giorgis0–0D
10 May@ Arba Minch Kenema3–2W
4 Mayvs Hadiya Hosaena1–0W
29 Apr@ Sheger Ketema0–0D
20 Apr@ Suhul Shire1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Negelle Arsi – last 6

DLWWDD
21 Mayvs Suhul Shire0–0D
14 May@ Mekelakeya0–4L
11 Mayvs Dire Dawa Kenema3–0W
6 May@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni2–1W
30 Aprvs Fasil Ketema0–0D
19 Aprvs Hadiya Hosaena1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Welayta Dicha and Negelle Arsi.

Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?

Our pick is Welayta Dicha or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?

On our numbers Welayta Dicha have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Negelle Arsi 31%.

How many goals will there be in Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?

Our predicted score is Welayta Dicha 1–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi?

Welayta Dicha vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.