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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fasil Ketema v Sheger Ketema: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
0–0
–
Fasil Ketema 33%Draw 32%Sheger Ketema 35% Expected goals 0.86 – 0.87
53%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.62

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultSheger Ketema to win35% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win68% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.49

Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Friday 29 May: Fasil Ketema v Sheger Ketema in the Premier League. In the table, Fasil Ketema are 15th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fasil Ketema, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ethiopia Bunna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sheger Ketema, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mekelle Kenema, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fasil Ketema 0.9 xG, Sheger Ketema 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fasil Ketema 33%, draw 32%, Sheger Ketema 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fasil Ketema 0–0 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fasil Ketema33%fair 3.08 · @3.00
Draw32%fair 3.09 · @2.50
Sheger Ketema35%fair 2.85 · @2.50
1.73Expected goals
0.86Fasil Ketema xG
0.87Sheger Ketema xG
47%Both score
25%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Fasil Ketema 0.9 – 0.9 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheger Ketema to win35%2.852.50
Double chanceEither team to win68%1.481.44
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.881.62
Draw no betSheger Ketema (draw no bet)52%1.93–
Asian handicapFasil Ketema +0.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals52%1.94–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals75%1.33–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals97%1.03–
First team to scoreSheger Ketema to score first41%2.42–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115%6.49–

Recent results

Fasil Ketema – last 6

LLDWWD
20 May@ Ethiopia Bunna1–2L
6 Mayvs Bahardar0–2L
30 Apr@ Negelle Arsi0–0D
14 Apr@ Welayta Dicha1–0W
9 Aprvs Awassa Kenema1–0W
3 Apr@ Dire Dawa Kenema0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sheger Ketema – last 6

LWDDWD
20 Mayvs Mekelle Kenema0–1L
10 Mayvs Sidama Bunna1–0W
4 May@ Awassa Kenema1–1D
29 Aprvs Welayta Dicha0–0D
20 Apr@ Bahardar2–0W
13 Aprvs Negelle Arsi1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fasil Ketema and Sheger Ketema.

Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

On our numbers Fasil Ketema have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sheger Ketema 35%.

How many goals will there be in Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

Our predicted score is Fasil Ketema 0–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.