Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.49
Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 29 May: Fasil Ketema v Sheger Ketema in the Premier League. In the table, Fasil Ketema are 15th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fasil Ketema, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ethiopia Bunna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sheger Ketema, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mekelle Kenema, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fasil Ketema 0.9 xG, Sheger Ketema 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fasil Ketema 33%, draw 32%, Sheger Ketema 35%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fasil Ketema 0–0 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fasil Ketema33%fair 3.08 · @3.00
Draw32%fair 3.09 · @2.50
Sheger Ketema35%fair 2.85 · @2.50
1.73Expected goals
0.86Fasil Ketema xG
0.87Sheger Ketema xG
47%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Fasil Ketema 0.9 – 0.9 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheger Ketema to win
35%
2.85
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win
68%
1.48
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.62
Draw no bet
Sheger Ketema (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Fasil Ketema +0.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Sheger Ketema to score first
41%
2.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.49
–
Recent results
Fasil Ketema – last 6
LLDWWD
20 May
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–2
L
6 May
vs Bahardar
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sheger Ketema – last 6
LWDDWD
20 May
vs Mekelle Kenema
0–1
L
10 May
vs Sidama Bunna
1–0
W
4 May
@ Awassa Kenema
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Bahardar
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fasil Ketema and Sheger Ketema.
What is the prediction for Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
On our numbers Fasil Ketema have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sheger Ketema 35%.
How many goals will there be in Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
Our predicted score is Fasil Ketema 0–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.