Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.04
Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 15 June the Premier League brings Negelle Arsi against Awassa Kenema. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Negelle Arsi are 1st, leading the league, on 11 points after 5 matches; Awassa Kenema are 11th (lower half) with 5.
Current form
Negelle Arsi, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Welayta Dicha, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Awassa Kenema, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ethiopia Bunna, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Negelle Arsi, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Awassa Kenema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Negelle Arsi 1.2 xG, Awassa Kenema 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Negelle Arsi 45%, draw 29%, Awassa Kenema 26%.
Lower-risk option: Negelle Arsi or draw (74%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Negelle Arsi or draw (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Negelle Arsi 1–0 Awassa Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Negelle Arsi45%fair 2.22 · @2.30
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.60
Awassa Kenema26%fair 3.91 · @3.30
2.02Expected goals
1.24Negelle Arsi xG
0.77Awassa Kenema xG
41%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–113%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Negelle Arsi 1.2 – 0.8 Awassa Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✓
45%
2.22
2.30
Double chance
Negelle Arsi or draw✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Negelle Arsi (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Awassa Kenema +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Negelle Arsi to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Negelle Arsi / FT Negelle Arsi✓
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.04
–
Recent results
Negelle Arsi – last 6
DDLWWD
4 Jun
@ Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
21 May
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
14 May
@ Mekelakeya
0–4
L
11 May
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
3–0
W
6 May
@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs Fasil Ketema
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Awassa Kenema – last 6
WDLDDL
28 May
vs Ethiopia Bunna
1–0
W
4 May
vs Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Negelle Arsi and Awassa Kenema.
What is the prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
Our pick is Negelle Arsi or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
On our numbers Negelle Arsi have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Awassa Kenema 26%.
How many goals will there be in Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
Our predicted score is Negelle Arsi 1–0 Awassa Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema?
Negelle Arsi vs Awassa Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema2
Suhul Shire0