Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arba Minch Kenema welcome Welwalo Adigrat Uni for a Premier League fixture on Friday 26 June (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Arba Minch Kenema, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fasil Ketema, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hadiya Hosaena, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arba Minch Kenema, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arba Minch Kenema 1.1 xG, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arba Minch Kenema 28%, draw 26%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arba Minch Kenema 1–1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arba Minch Kenema28%fair 3.62 · @5.00
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.00
Welwalo Adigrat Uni46%fair 2.16 · @1.67
2.31Expected goals
1.13Arba Minch Kenema xG
1.18Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Arba Minch Kenema 1.1 – 1.2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win✓
46%
2.16
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Welwalo Adigrat Uni (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Arba Minch Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Welwalo Adigrat Uni / FT Welwalo Adigrat Uni✓
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.80
–
Recent results
Arba Minch Kenema – last 6
LWWLLW
22 Jun
@ Fasil Ketema
0–2
L
15 Jun
vs Suhul Shire
2–0
W
28 May
@ Mekelakeya
2–1
W
21 May
vs Sidama Bunna
0–3
L
10 May
vs Welayta Dicha
2–3
L
5 May
@ Mekelle Kenema
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 6
LDDDDL
22 Jun
vs Hadiya Hosaena
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Sheger Ketema
0–0
D
30 May
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
21 May
@ Adama Kenema
0–0
D
10 May
@ Bahardar
0–0
D
6 May
vs Negelle Arsi
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arba Minch Kenema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
What is the prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
On our numbers Arba Minch Kenema have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%.
How many goals will there be in Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our predicted score is Arba Minch Kenema 1–1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
