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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rentistas v Miramar: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Complejo Rentistas
1–1
FT
Rentistas 55%Draw 25%Miramar 19% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.72
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRentistas to win ✗55% · @1.80
Double chanceRentistas or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63

Rentistas vs Miramar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rentistas welcome Miramar to Complejo Rentistas for a Segunda División fixture on Wednesday 29 April (23:00 WAT). In the table, Rentistas are 2nd, among the top four, on 40 points after 25 matches; Miramar are 12th (in the drop zone) with 30.

Current form

Rentistas, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Oriental, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Miramar, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Oriental, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rentistas 1.4 xG, Miramar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rentistas 55%, draw 25%, Miramar 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rentistas or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rentistas 2–0 Miramar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rentistas55%fair 1.81 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.20
Miramar19%fair 5.14 · @4.20
2.16Expected goals
1.44Rentistas xG
0.72Miramar xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Rentistas 1.4 – 0.7 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RentistasMiramar
Attack vs Segunda División average+21%-13%
Goals conceded vs average-9%+2%
Our expected goals here1.610.80

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRentistas to win ✗55%1.811.80
Double chanceRentistas or draw ✓81%1.241.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.922.05 ▲
Draw no betRentistas (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapMiramar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.561.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreRentistas to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rentistas / FT Rentistas ✗33%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.63–

Recent results

Rentistas – last 3

LWD
20 Aprvs Oriental1–2L
10 Apr@ Paysandu1–0W
23 Mar@ CA River Plate1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Miramar – last 3

LWL
12 Apr@ Oriental1–2L
7 Aprvs CA River Plate1–0W
27 Mar@ Paysandu0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rentistas and Miramar.

Rentistas vs Miramar head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rentistas vs Miramar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Rentistas vs Miramar?

On our numbers Rentistas have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Miramar 19%.

How many goals will there be in Rentistas vs Miramar?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Miramar?

Our predicted score is Rentistas 2–0 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Rentistas vs Miramar?

Rentistas vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Rentistas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.