Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Atenas to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtenas to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Atenas vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Segunda División brings Atenas against Fenix. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Atenas are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.4 xG, Fenix 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 41%, draw 28%, Fenix 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Atenas to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 1–1 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atenas41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.95
Fenix31%fair 3.21 · @2.62
2.34Expected goals
1.36Atenas xG
0.98Fenix xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.4 – 1.0 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atenas
Fenix
Attack vs Segunda División average
+3%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.43
0.82
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✗
41%
2.44
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.95
Draw no bet
Atenas (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Fenix +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Atenas to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Atenas – last 2
WL
18 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Uruguay Montevideo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fenix – last 2
WD
5 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Uruguay Montevideo
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and Fenix.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Atenas vs Fenix?
On our numbers Atenas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fenix 31%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Fenix?
Atenas vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
