Liège 36%Draw 23%Lommel United 40%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.59
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Liège to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLommel United to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.86
Liège vs Lommel United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liège welcome Lommel United to Stade de Rocourt for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Monday 27 April (19:30 WAT).
Current form
Liège, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Lommel United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lommel United, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Liège, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Lommel United 3–0 Liège.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liège 1.6 xG, Lommel United 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liège 36%, draw 23%, Lommel United 40%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Liège to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liège 1–1 Lommel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liège36%fair 2.74 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.55
Lommel United40%fair 2.49 · @2.10
3.15Expected goals
1.56Liège xG
1.59Lommel United xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Liège 1.6 – 1.6 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Liège vs Lommel United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liège vs Lommel United?
On our numbers Liège have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lommel United 40%.
How many goals will there be in Liège vs Lommel United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liège vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is Liège 1–1 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Liège vs Lommel United?
Liège vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Rocourt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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