Gharraf vs Al Minaa Basra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Minaa Basra travel to face Gharraf on Tuesday 28 April in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Gharraf are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Al Minaa Basra are 9th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gharraf, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Duhok, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Al Minaa Basra, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Baghdad, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gharraf, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Al Minaa Basra.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Al Minaa Basra 0–1 Gharraf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gharraf 1.2 xG, Al Minaa Basra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gharraf 46%, draw 27%, Al Minaa Basra 27%.
Lower-risk option: Gharraf or draw (73%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gharraf or draw (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gharraf 1–0 Al Minaa Basra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gharraf46%fair 2.17 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.60
Al Minaa Basra27%fair 3.71 · @3.20
2.07Expected goals
1.17Gharraf xG
0.91Al Minaa Basra xG
56%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gharraf 1.2 – 0.9 Al Minaa Basra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gharraf vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our pick is Gharraf or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Gharraf vs Al Minaa Basra?
On our numbers Gharraf have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Al Minaa Basra 27%.
How many goals will there be in Gharraf vs Al Minaa Basra?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gharraf vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our predicted score is Gharraf 1–0 Al Minaa Basra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gharraf vs Al Minaa Basra?
Gharraf vs Al Minaa Basra (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
