Value bet: Hapoel Afula to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Afula to win ✗42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 24 April the Liga Leumit brings Hapoel Afula against Ironi Modi'in. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Afula are 5th, upper half, on 24 points after 13 matches; Ironi Modi'in are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hapoel Afula, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kiryat Yam SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ironi Modi'in, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kafr Qasim, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Hapoel Afula 0–0 Ironi Modi'in.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Afula 1.6 xG, Ironi Modi'in 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Afula 42%, draw 24%, Ironi Modi'in 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Afula to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Afula 1–1 Ironi Modi'in. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Afula42%fair 2.35 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Ironi Modi'in33%fair 3.01 · @2.40
2.76Expected goals
1.59Hapoel Afula xG
1.17Ironi Modi'in xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hapoel Afula 1.6 – 1.2 Ironi Modi'in expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
On our numbers Hapoel Afula have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ironi Modi'in 33%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Afula 1–1 Ironi Modi'in, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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