Value bet: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa to win ✓38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.68
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the Liga Leumit brings Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa against Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hapoel Ra'anana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hapoel Hadera, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0–1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1.4 xG, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 38%, draw 25%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa38%fair 2.62 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
Hapoel Nazareth Illit37%fair 2.71 · @3.10
2.89Expected goals
1.36Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa xG
1.53Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1.4 – 1.5 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa to win✓
38%
2.62
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✗
What is the prediction for Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 37%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
