Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Hadera to win ✓40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Hadera welcome Ironi Modi'in to Netanya Stadium for a Liga Leumit fixture on Tuesday 5 May (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Hapoel Hadera, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hapoel Nazareth Illit, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Ironi Modi'in, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kafr Qasim, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Hadera 1.4 xG, Ironi Modi'in 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Hadera 40%, draw 26%, Ironi Modi'in 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Hadera 1–1 Ironi Modi'in. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Hadera40%fair 2.53 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.20
Ironi Modi'in35%fair 2.87 · @2.55
2.63Expected goals
1.41Hapoel Hadera xG
1.22Ironi Modi'in xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Hadera 1.4 – 1.2 Ironi Modi'in expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Hadera to win✓
40%
2.53
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Hapoel Hadera (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Modi'in +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Hapoel Hadera to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Hadera / FT Hapoel Hadera✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Hapoel Hadera – last 6
LWLLLL
30 Apr
@ Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Kafr Qasim
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Hapoel Ramat Gan
1–3
L
14 Apr
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
0–3
L
10 Apr
@ Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ironi Modi'in – last 6
DDDLLD
1 May
vs Kafr Qasim
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Hapoel Afula
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Kafr Qasim
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
0–1
L
10 Apr
vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
2–3
L
6 Apr
@ Hapoel Afula
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Hadera and Ironi Modi'in.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
On our numbers Hapoel Hadera have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ironi Modi'in 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Hadera 1–1 Ironi Modi'in, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in?
Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modi'in (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Netanya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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