Value bet: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win @ 3.00 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✗41% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ironi Modi'in travel to face Hapoel Nazareth Illit on Tuesday 19 May in the Liga Leumit – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kafr Qasim, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Ironi Modi'in, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hapoel Acre, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.6 xG, Ironi Modi'in 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Nazareth Illit 41%, draw 25%, Ironi Modi'in 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Ironi Modi'in. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Nazareth Illit41%fair 2.44 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.00
Ironi Modi'in34%fair 2.95 · @2.33
2.84Expected goals
1.60Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
1.25Ironi Modi'in xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.6 – 1.2 Ironi Modi'in expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win✗
41%
2.44
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Hapoel Nazareth Illit (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Modi'in +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
DLWLDW
11 May
@ Kafr Qasim
1–1
D
4 May
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–2
L
30 Apr
vs Hapoel Hadera
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–4
L
17 Apr
vs Hapoel Ra'anana
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Hapoel Afula
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ironi Modi'in – last 6
LWLDDD
14 May
vs Hapoel Acre
0–1
L
8 May
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
4–1
W
5 May
@ Hapoel Hadera
0–1
L
1 May
vs Kafr Qasim
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Hapoel Afula
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Kafr Qasim
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Nazareth Illit and Ironi Modi'in.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
On our numbers Hapoel Nazareth Illit have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ironi Modi'in 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Ironi Modi'in, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Hadera0