Value bet: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win @ 2.90 – our chance 43% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✗43% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Acre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 25 May the Liga Leumit brings Hapoel Nazareth Illit against Hapoel Acre. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ironi Modi'in, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Hapoel Acre, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hapoel Hadera, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Hapoel Acre 0–2 Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.6 xG, Hapoel Acre 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Nazareth Illit 43%, draw 24%, Hapoel Acre 33%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Acre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Nazareth Illit43%fair 2.31 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.25
Hapoel Acre33%fair 3.01 · @2.25
2.72Expected goals
1.64Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
1.09Hapoel Acre xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.6 – 1.1 Hapoel Acre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win✗
43%
2.31
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Hapoel Nazareth Illit (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Acre +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✗
What is the prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Acre?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Acre?
On our numbers Hapoel Nazareth Illit have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hapoel Acre 33%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Acre?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Acre?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Acre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Acre?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Acre (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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