Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultTubarao to win ✓61% · @1.30
Double chanceTubarao or draw ✓84% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.13
Tubarao vs Nação: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Tubarao v Nação in the Catarinense 2.
Current form
Tubarao, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Jaraguá, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nação, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Metropolitano, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tubarao, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Nação.
Head to head
When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Nação 0–0 Tubarao.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tubarao 1.6 xG, Nação 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tubarao 61%, draw 23%, Nação 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tubarao to win (61%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tubarao 1–0 Nação. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tubarao61%fair 1.65 · @1.30
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @4.20
Nação16%fair 6.25 · @9.50
2.45Expected goals
1.62Tubarao xG
0.83Nação xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tubarao 1.6 – 0.8 Nação expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tubarao to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tubarao vs Nação?
On our numbers Tubarao have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nação 16%.
How many goals will there be in Tubarao vs Nação?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tubarao vs Nação?
Our predicted score is Tubarao 1–0 Nação, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tubarao vs Nação?
Tubarao vs Nação (Catarinense 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Catarinense 2 · Brazil
