Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4% · fair 22.97
Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hercílio Luz travel to face Guarani de Palhoça on Saturday 4 July in the Catarinense 2 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Guarani de Palhoça, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Caravaggio, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Hercílio Luz, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Fluminense-SC, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Hercílio Luz, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Guarani de Palhoça.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guarani de Palhoça 1.1 xG, Hercílio Luz 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guarani de Palhoça 24%, draw 25%, Hercílio Luz 51%.
Lower-risk option: Hercílio Luz or draw (76%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hercílio Luz to win (51%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guarani de Palhoça 0–1 Hercílio Luz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guarani de Palhoça24%fair 4.11 · @4.33
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.60
Hercílio Luz51%fair 1.96 · @1.65
2.67Expected goals
1.11Guarani de Palhoça xG
1.56Hercílio Luz xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Guarani de Palhoça 1.1 – 1.6 Hercílio Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hercílio Luz to win✓
51%
1.96
1.65
Double chance
Hercílio Luz or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Hercílio Luz (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Guarani de Palhoça +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Hercílio Luz to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hercílio Luz / FT Hercílio Luz✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
4%
22.97
–
Recent results
Guarani de Palhoça – last 6
WDLDWL
28 Jun
@ Caravaggio
3–2
W
21 Jun
vs Nação
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Metropolitano
1–3
L
7 Jun
vs Tubarao
2–2
D
3 Jun
@ Jaraguá
3–1
W
27 May
@ Blumenau
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hercílio Luz – last 6
WWWWDW
28 Jun
vs Fluminense-SC
4–2
W
21 Jun
vs Metropolitano
3–0
W
14 Jun
@ Jaraguá
2–0
W
7 Jun
vs Nação
2–1
W
31 May
@ Caravaggio
2–2
D
27 May
vs Tubarao
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guarani de Palhoça and Hercílio Luz.
What is the prediction for Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
Our pick is Hercílio Luz to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
On our numbers Guarani de Palhoça have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hercílio Luz 51%.
How many goals will there be in Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
Our predicted score is Guarani de Palhoça 0–1 Hercílio Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz?
Guarani de Palhoça vs Hercílio Luz (Catarinense 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Catarinense 2 · Brazil
Fluminense-SC1
Blumenau1