Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nação v Fluminense-SC: numbers & prediction

Catarinense 2 · Brazil

Nação

LDDWL
1–2
FT
Nação 43%Draw 27%Fluminense-SC 30% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.03
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultNação to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86

Nação vs Fluminense-SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 July the Catarinense 2 brings Nação against Fluminense-SC. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.

Current form

Nação, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tubarao, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Fluminense-SC, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Blumenau, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Fluminense-SC 1–1 Nação.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nação 1.3 xG, Fluminense-SC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nação 43%, draw 27%, Fluminense-SC 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nação 1–1 Fluminense-SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nação43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Fluminense-SC30%fair 3.31 · @3.10
2.32Expected goals
1.29Nação xG
1.03Fluminense-SC xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Nação 1.3 – 1.0 Fluminense-SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNação to win ✗43%2.342.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betNação (draw no bet) ✗59%1.71–
Asian handicapFluminense-SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreNação to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nação / FT Nação ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.86–

Recent results

Nação – last 6

LDDWLL
5 Jul@ Tubarao0–1L
2 Julvs Metropolitano0–0D
21 Jun@ Guarani de Palhoça0–0D
17 Junvs Juventus SC1–0W
7 Jun@ Hercílio Luz1–2L
3 Junvs Blumenau0–6L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Fluminense-SC – last 6

DLWLLL
4 Julvs Blumenau1–1D
28 Jun@ Hercílio Luz2–4L
21 Junvs Jaraguá1–0W
14 Jun@ Caravaggio0–1L
11 Junvs Metropolitano1–3L
31 May@ Tubarao0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Fluminense-SC v Nação1–1
Nação vs Fluminense-SC head-to-head page →

More Catarinense 2 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nação vs Fluminense-SC?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Nação vs Fluminense-SC?

On our numbers Nação have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fluminense-SC 30%.

How many goals will there be in Nação vs Fluminense-SC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nação vs Fluminense-SC?

Our predicted score is Nação 1–1 Fluminense-SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Nação vs Fluminense-SC?

Nação vs Fluminense-SC (Catarinense 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.