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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fluminense-SC v Guarani de Palhoça: numbers & prediction

Catarinense 2 · Brazil

Fluminense-SC

WDLWL
1–1
FT

Guarani de Palhoça

LLWDL
Fluminense-SC 38%Draw 26%Guarani de Palhoça 36% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.29
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: Guarani de Palhoça to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFluminense-SC to win ✗38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.95

Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guarani de Palhoça travel to face Fluminense-SC on Wednesday 15 July in the Catarinense 2 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Fluminense-SC, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nação, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Guarani de Palhoça, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventus SC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense-SC 1.1 xG, Guarani de Palhoça 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense-SC 38%, draw 26%, Guarani de Palhoça 36%.
  • Price worth noting: Guarani de Palhoça to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense-SC 1–1 Guarani de Palhoça. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fluminense-SC38%fair 2.66 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Guarani de Palhoça36%fair 2.74 · @3.00
2.42Expected goals
1.14Fluminense-SC xG
1.29Guarani de Palhoça xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Fluminense-SC 1.1 – 1.3 Guarani de Palhoça expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFluminense-SC to win ✗38%2.662.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.85–
Draw no betFluminense-SC (draw no bet)51%1.97–
Asian handicapFluminense-SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreGuarani de Palhoça to score first48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guarani de Palhoça / FT Guarani de Palhoça ✗23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%9.95–

Recent results

Fluminense-SC – last 6

WDLWLL
12 Jul@ Nação2–1W
4 Julvs Blumenau1–1D
28 Jun@ Hercílio Luz2–4L
21 Junvs Jaraguá1–0W
14 Jun@ Caravaggio0–1L
11 Junvs Metropolitano1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Guarani de Palhoça – last 6

LLWDLD
12 Jul@ Juventus SC0–1L
4 Julvs Hercílio Luz1–2L
28 Jun@ Caravaggio3–2W
21 Junvs Nação0–0D
14 Jun@ Metropolitano1–3L
7 Junvs Tubarao2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fluminense-SC and Guarani de Palhoça.

Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça head-to-head page →

More Catarinense 2 predictions

FT Hercílio Luz1 Juventus SC0 167%1.22X21%5.00212%9.00 1.9–0.8xG 1Hercílio Luz to win 67%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?

On our numbers Fluminense-SC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guarani de Palhoça 36%.

How many goals will there be in Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?

Our predicted score is Fluminense-SC 1–1 Guarani de Palhoça, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça?

Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoça (Catarinense 2) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.