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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vilavelhense v Porto Vitória: numbers & prediction

Copa Espírito Santo · Brazil
1–2
FT
Vilavelhense 34%Draw 25%Porto Vitória 41% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.39
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultPorto Vitória to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83

Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitória: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Porto Vitória travel to face Vilavelhense on Sunday 17 May in the Copa Espírito Santo – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Porto Vitória, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rio Branco ES, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vilavelhense 1.3 xG, Porto Vitória 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vilavelhense 34%, draw 25%, Porto Vitória 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vilavelhense 1–1 Porto Vitória. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vilavelhense34%fair 2.93 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Porto Vitória41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
2.71Expected goals
1.32Vilavelhense xG
1.39Porto Vitória xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Vilavelhense 1.3 – 1.4 Porto Vitória expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPorto Vitória to win ✓41%2.462.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Draw no betPorto Vitória (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapVilavelhense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scorePorto Vitória to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Porto Vitória / FT Porto Vitória ✗23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%10.83–

Recent results

Vilavelhense – last 2

LD
15 Mar@ Serra Talhada0–1L
28 Febvs Desportiva ES1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Porto Vitória – last 6

WDLWLW
6 Mayvs Rio Branco ES3–0W
29 Aprvs Tocantinópolis1–1D
22 Aprvs Vitória ES1–3L
16 Apr@ Cuiaba3–2W
8 Apr@ Anápolis0–2L
29 Marvs Atletico Goianiense3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vilavelhense and Porto Vitória.

Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitória head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitória?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitória?

On our numbers Vilavelhense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Porto Vitória 41%.

How many goals will there be in Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitória?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitória?

Our predicted score is Vilavelhense 1–1 Porto Vitória, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitória?

Vilavelhense vs Porto Vitória (Copa Espírito Santo) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.