Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 24 April the Liga De Expansión MX brings Atlante FC against Tepatitlán. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Atlante FC, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CA La Paz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Tepatitlán, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CA La Paz, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tepatitlán, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Atlante FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlante FC 2.3 xG, Tepatitlán 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlante FC 71%, draw 18%, Tepatitlán 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlante FC 2–0 Tepatitlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlante FC71%fair 1.41 · @1.49
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @4.10
Tepatitlán11%fair 9.23 · @6.40
3.00Expected goals
2.29Atlante FC xG
0.70Tepatitlán xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atlante FC 2.3 – 0.7 Tepatitlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlante FC
Tepatitlán
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+2%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+47%
Our expected goals here
2.78
0.73
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlante FC to win✓
71%
1.41
1.49 ▲
Double chance
Atlante FC or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Draw no bet
Atlante FC (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Atlante FC -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
Atlante FC to score first✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Atlante FC ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlante FC / FT Atlante FC✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Atlante FC – last 6
DLWLWD
18 Apr
vs CA La Paz
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Cancún
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Venados FC
1–4
L
22 Mar
vs Dorados
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tepatitlán – last 6
DWDWLW
11 Apr
@ CA La Paz
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Cancún
2–2
D
21 Mar
vs Venados FC
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Monarcas
2–3
L
9 Mar
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlante FC and Tepatitlán.
What is the prediction for Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
On our numbers Atlante FC have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tepatitlán 11%.
How many goals will there be in Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
Our predicted score is Atlante FC 2–0 Tepatitlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán?
Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
