Tepatitlán 33%Draw 25%Atlante FC 43%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.58
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Atlante FC to win @ 2.66 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAtlante FC to win43% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.74
Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlante FC travel to face Tepatitlán on Monday 27 April in the Liga De Expansión MX – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Tepatitlán, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atlante FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Atlante FC, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tepatitlán, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Atlante FC 2–0 Tepatitlán.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tepatitlán 1.2 xG, Atlante FC 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tepatitlán 33%, draw 25%, Atlante FC 43%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Atlante FC to win @2.66 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tepatitlán 1–1 Atlante FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tepatitlán33%fair 3.04 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.35
Atlante FC43%fair 2.35 · @2.66
2.75Expected goals
1.18Tepatitlán xG
1.58Atlante FC xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.2 – 1.6 Atlante FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tepatitlán
Atlante FC
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-30%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.11
1.83
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlante FC 43%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–1 Atlante FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC?
Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
