Khovd Western 8%Draw 14%Deren 78%Expected goals 1.02 – 3.09
92%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.09 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeren to win ✓78% · @1.18
Double chanceDeren or draw ✓92% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Khovd Western vs Deren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Premier League brings Khovd Western against Deren. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT. In the table, Khovd Western are 6th on 24 points after 20 matches; Deren are 3rd with 45. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Khovd Western 1.0 xG, Deren 3.1 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Khovd Western 8%, draw 14%, Deren 78%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (92%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khovd Western 1–3 Deren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Khovd Western8%fair 12.15 · @11.00
Draw14%fair 7.21 · @8.50
Deren78%fair 1.28 · @1.18
4.11Expected goals
1.02Khovd Western xG
3.09Deren xG
54%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–38%
0–38%
1–28%
0–28%
1–46%
0–46%
From our goals model: Khovd Western 1.0 – 3.1 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deren to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Double chance
Deren or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Deren (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Deren -1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.14
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
First team to score
Deren to score first
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Deren ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deren / FT Deren✓
56%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Khovd Western – last 1
D
26 Apr
@ Hunters
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deren
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Khovd Western and Deren.
What is the prediction for Khovd Western vs Deren?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Khovd Western vs Deren?
On our numbers Khovd Western have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Deren 78%.
How many goals will there be in Khovd Western vs Deren?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khovd Western vs Deren?
Our predicted score is Khovd Western 1–3 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Khovd Western vs Deren?
Khovd Western vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
