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Buriram United v Ayutthaya FC: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · Thailand · Chang Arena
5–0
FT
Buriram United 69%Draw 19%Ayutthaya FC 12% Expected goals 2.50 – 1.03
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultBuriram United to win ✓69% · @1.20
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Buriram United v Ayutthaya FC in the FA Cup, played at Chang Arena.

Current form

Buriram United, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Johor Darul Takzim FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Ayutthaya FC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Port FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Buriram United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Ayutthaya FC.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Buriram United 2–0 Ayutthaya FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Buriram United 2.5 xG, Ayutthaya FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Buriram United 69%, draw 19%, Ayutthaya FC 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buriram United 2–1 Ayutthaya FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Buriram United69%fair 1.46 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @5.50
Ayutthaya FC12%fair 8.06 · @12.00
3.53Expected goals
2.50Buriram United xG
1.03Ayutthaya FC xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–18%
1–07%

From our goals model: Buriram United 2.5 – 1.0 Ayutthaya FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBuriram United to win ✓69%1.461.20
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓88%1.141.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.85 ▲
Draw no betBuriram United (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapBuriram United -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.861.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
First team to scoreBuriram United to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultBuriram United ahead at half-time ✓52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Buriram United / FT Buriram United ✓46%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Buriram United – last 6

LDWLWW
13 Mayvs Johor Darul Takzim FC0–2L
10 Mayvs Lamphun Warrior1–1D
6 May@ Johor Darul Takzim FC3–1W
29 Apr@ Rayong FC0–3L
26 Apr@ Kanchanaburi3–1W
12 Aprvs Ayutthaya FC2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ayutthaya FC – last 6

LLLLLL
10 Mayvs Port FC1–4L
2 May@ Bangkok United1–4L
26 Aprvs Prachuap1–3L
12 Apr@ Buriram United0–2L
5 Apr@ Lamphun Warrior0–2L
21 Marvs Nakhon Ratchasima FC0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Buriram United v Ayutthaya FC2–0
Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?

On our numbers Buriram United have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ayutthaya FC 12%.

How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?

Our predicted score is Buriram United 2–1 Ayutthaya FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC?

Buriram United vs Ayutthaya FC (FA Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.