Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Primera B brings Real Cartagena against Bogota FC. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Bogota FC are 10th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Cartagena, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barranquilla, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Bogota FC, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Magdalena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.6 xG, Bogota FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 58%, draw 25%, Bogota FC 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Cartagena to win (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–0 Bogota FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Cartagena58%fair 1.73 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.70
Bogota FC17%fair 5.87 · @5.00
2.37Expected goals
1.57Real Cartagena xG
0.80Bogota FC xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.6 – 0.8 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
Attack vs Primera B average
+40%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.46
0.85
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Double chance
Real Cartagena or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Real Cartagena (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Bogota FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Real Cartagena to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Recent results
Real Cartagena – last 6
DLWDWD
27 Apr
@ Barranquilla
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Patriotas
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Quindio
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Popayan
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Envigado
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bogota FC – last 6
DWDWLD
27 Apr
vs Union Magdalena
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Orsomarso
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Real Soacha
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Envigado
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Quindio
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Cartagena and Bogota FC.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Our pick is Real Cartagena to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bogota FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
