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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union Magdalena v Barranquilla: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Sierra Nevada

Union Magdalena

DLWWW
2–0
FT

Barranquilla

DLWLW
Union Magdalena 60%Draw 23%Barranquilla 17% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.89
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✓60% · @1.40
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Union Magdalena welcome Barranquilla to Estadio Sierra Nevada for a Primera B fixture on Monday 4 May (22:00 WAT). In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Barranquilla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Union Magdalena, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bogota FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Barranquilla, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Real Cartagena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Barranquilla 1–3 Union Magdalena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.7 xG, Barranquilla 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 60%, draw 23%, Barranquilla 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–1 Barranquilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Magdalena60%fair 1.66 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.10
Barranquilla17%fair 5.88 · @6.75
2.61Expected goals
1.72Union Magdalena xG
0.89Barranquilla xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.9 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Union MagdalenaBarranquilla
Attack vs Primera B average+10%+4%
Goals conceded vs average-9%+19%
Our expected goals here1.500.92

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Magdalena to win ✓60%1.661.40
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓83%1.201.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.85
Draw no betUnion Magdalena (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapBarranquilla +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreUnion Magdalena to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena ✓35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Union Magdalena – last 6

DLWWWL
27 Apr@ Bogota FC1–1D
13 Aprvs Internacional Palmira0–2L
9 Aprvs Envigado4–2W
30 Mar@ Ind. Yumbo2–0W
26 Marvs Real Santander2–0W
23 Mar@ Real Cartagena1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Barranquilla – last 6

DLWLWD
27 Aprvs Real Cartagena0–0D
14 Aprvs Envigado1–2L
8 Aprvs Real Santander2–0W
31 Mar@ Tigres FC1–3L
25 Marvs Leones FC3–0W
16 Marvs Bogota FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Mar 2026Barranquilla v Union Magdalena1–3
Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

League hub
FT Envigado0 Internacional Palmira0 146%2.05X28%3.20227%3.35 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barranquilla 17%.

How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–1 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla?

Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.